Kansas State

BMPR #45 AP NR Coaches NR 3-2 Big 12
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+6.1
Rank #45
Offense (Adj PPG)
30.5
Rank #38
Defense (Adj PPG)
24.4
Rank #57
Actual Record
3-2
All games played
Projected Wins
6.8
7 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.3
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05vsNicholls--W 71-3 (1-0)-41.5 ✓ / 55.5 O
209/12vsWashington State logoWashington State-11.6 / 43.969%W 34-7 (2-0)-17.5 ✓ / 48.5 U
309/19vsTulane logoTulane-9.3 / 44.865%W 31-20 (3-0)-20.5 ✗ / 49.5 O
409/26@Cincinnati logoCincinnati-1.1 / 56.652%L 26-31 (3-1)-6.0 ✗ / 55.5 O
5IDLE
610/10vs#25 Houston logoHouston+2.9 / 54.845%L 16-35 (3-2)-2.5 ✗ / 54.5 U
710/17vsKansas logoKansas-2.7 / 57.654%--6.5 / 54.5
810/24@Arizona State logoArizona State-3.3 / 52.755%--
910/31@Colorado logoColorado-8.3 / 46.863%--
1011/07vsOklahoma State logoOklahoma State-11.7 / 55.769%--
1111/14@TCU logoTCU+1.1 / 48.648%--
1211/21vs#22 Arizona logoArizona+3.6 / 57.944%--
1311/28@Iowa State logoIowa State+4.5 / 52.943%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG26.530.5+4.0
Offense YPG395.6411.8+16.1
Offense YPP6.236.25+0.01
Defense PPG25.924.4-1.5
Defense YPG380.6383.2+2.5
Defense YPP5.845.72-0.13

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-0.258
Median (Current)+1.455
Mean (Historical)-4.158
Median (Historical)+3.329

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Kansas State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 3-2 Expected: 3.3 wins Culture Factor: -0.3 (Neutral)
0-5
0.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-3
18.2%
3-2
36.6%
4-1
31.7%
5-0
9.9%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
6.8
3-9
0.4%
4-8
3.4%
5-7
12.7%
6-6
25.2%
7-5
29.1%
8-4
20.3%
9-3
7.7%
10-2
1.2%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Kansas State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Kansas State do with another team's schedule?