Arizona State

BMPR #65 AP NR Coaches NR 3-2 Big 12
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+0.1
Rank #65
Offense (Adj PPG)
25.2
Rank #75
Defense (Adj PPG)
25.0
Rank #64
Actual Record
3-2
All games played
Projected Wins
5.8
7 games remaining
Expected Wins
2.8
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/06vsMorgan State--W 70-7 (1-0)-43.5 ✓ / 52.5 O
209/12@#20 Texas A&M logoTexas A&M+14.2 / 48.027%L 20-48 (1-1)+15.5 ✗ / 51.5 O
309/19@Kansas logoKansas+6.0 / 53.540%W 24-17 (2-1)-5.5 ✓ / 50.5 U
4IDLE
510/04vsBaylor logoBaylor+4.1 / 56.543%L 19-55 (2-2)-3.5 ✗ / 48.5 O
610/11vsHawai'i logoHawai'i-12.7 / 48.470%W 30-12 (3-2)-20.5 ✗ / 51.5 U
710/17@#8 Texas Tech logoTexas Tech+21.6 / 48.915%-+13.5 / 48.5
810/24vsKansas State logoKansas State+3.3 / 52.745%--
910/31@#18 BYU logoBYU+15.8 / 44.125%--
1011/07vsColorado logoColorado-7.3 / 42.662%--
1111/14@UCF logoUCF+3.2 / 45.245%--
1211/21vsOklahoma State logoOklahoma State-5.4 / 51.259%--
1311/28@#22 Arizona logoArizona+14.0 / 53.727%-+4.5 / 52.5

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG23.925.2+1.3
Offense YPG374.1365.0-9.1
Offense YPP5.975.72-0.25
Defense PPG26.825.0-1.7
Defense YPG370.9324.7-46.2
Defense YPP5.205.21+0.02

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+2.242
Median (Current)+6.029
Mean (Historical)-4.056
Median (Historical)+2.536

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Arizona State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 3-2 Expected: 2.8 wins Culture Factor: +0.2 (Neutral)
0-5
0.4%
1-4
8.4%
2-3
31.1%
3-2
38.1%
4-1
18.9%
5-0
3.1%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
5.8
3-9
2.2%
4-8
12.4%
5-7
27.3%
6-6
30.9%
7-5
19.4%
8-4
6.6%
9-3
1.1%
10-2
0.1%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Arizona State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Arizona State do with another team's schedule?