BYU

BMPR #18 AP #8 Coaches #8 5-0 Big 12
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+13.5
Rank #18
Offense (Adj PPG)
29.6
Rank #45
Defense (Adj PPG)
16.2
Rank #12
Actual Record
5-0
All games played
Projected Wins
9.1
7 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.6
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/06vsUtah Tech--W 63-7 (1-0)-50.5 ✓ / 61.5 O
209/12vs#22 Arizona logoArizona-5.2 / 47.858%W 28-17 (2-0)-7.0 ✓ / 49.0 U
309/19@Colorado State logoColorado State-22.2 / 58.586%W 41-23 (3-0)-17.5 ✓ / 54.0 O
4IDLE
510/03@TCU logoTCU-6.4 / 39.760%W 17-10 (4-0)-5.5 ✓ / 48.5 U
610/10vsIowa State logoIowa State-8.2 / 43.263%W 24-10 (5-0)-11.5 ✓ / 46.5 U
710/17vs#2 Notre Dame logoNotre Dame+8.4 / 47.337%-+11.5 / 47.5
810/24@UCF logoUCF-9.8 / 40.866%--
910/31vsArizona State logoArizona State-15.8 / 44.175%--
1011/07@#7 Utah logoUtah+10.3 / 44.834%-+3.0 / 51.5
1111/14vsBaylor logoBaylor-10.0 / 51.466%--
1211/21@Kansas logoKansas-6.0 / 47.760%--
1311/28vsCincinnati logoCincinnati-14.0 / 46.873%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG28.529.6+1.1
Offense YPG385.2393.8+8.6
Offense YPP6.246.49+0.25
Defense PPG17.816.2-1.6
Defense YPG303.9298.8-5.1
Defense YPP5.064.93-0.13

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+3.727
Median (Current)+5.133
Mean (Historical)-4.661
Median (Historical)+4.025

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If BYU replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 5-0 Expected: 3.6 wins Culture Factor: +1.4 (Winners Win)
0-5
0.0%
1-4
1.3%
2-3
10.5%
3-2
31.1%
4-1
39.1%
5-0
18.0%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
9.1
5-7
0.1%
6-6
1.6%
7-5
8.1%
8-4
21.0%
9-3
31.2%
10-2
25.5%
11-1
10.8%
12-0
1.7%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game BYU isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would BYU do with another team's schedule?