
| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | @#15 Iowa | +31.2 / 42.3 | 0% | L 0-40 (0-1) | +32.0 ✗ / 44.5 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | vsIllinois State | - | - | L 24-28 (0-2) | +2.5 ✗ / 48.0 O |
| 3 | 09/20 | @#22 Arizona | +30.4 / 50.0 | 1% | L 17-42 (0-3) | +34.5 ✓ / 50.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | @ Georgia State | +13.6 / 48.1 | 28% | L 14-35 (0-4) | +8.5 ✗ / 56.5 U |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/10 | vs Air Force | +13.4 / 45.9 | 29% | L 7-28 (0-5) | +7.0 ✗ / 48.5 U |
| 7 | 10/17 | @ Wyoming | +6.8 / 29.7 | 39% | - | +7.0 / 38.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs Hawai'i | +4.5 / 40.5 | 43% | - | - |
| 9 | 11/01 | @ UNLV | +20.2 / 41.4 | 18% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ San Jose State | +11.7 / 37.7 | 31% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Nevada | +8.8 / 42.6 | 36% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ North Dakota State | +22.1 / 38.3 | 15% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs UTEP | -7.0 / 44.7 | 61% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 17.0 | 13.9 | -3.1 |
| Offense YPG | 298.9 | 293.3 | -5.6 |
| Offense YPP | 4.95 | 4.95 | +0.00 |
| Defense PPG | 32.5 | 30.5 | -2.0 |
| Defense YPG | 409.2 | 407.8 | -1.4 |
| Defense YPP | 6.39 | 6.24 | -0.16 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -5.6 | 84 |
| Median (Current) | -6.0 | 93 |
| Mean (Historical) | -4.7 | 62 |
| Median (Historical) | -3.9 | 74 |
If Northern Illinois replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Northern Illinois isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Northern Illinois do with another team's schedule?