Hawai'i

BMPR #112 AP NR Coaches NR 1-5 Mountain West
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-10.4
Rank #112
Offense (Adj PPG)
19.9
Rank #112
Defense (Adj PPG)
30.3
Rank #101
Actual Record
1-5
All games played
Projected Wins
4.0
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
2.7
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
108/29@Stanford logoStanford+1.0 / 50.448%L 27-37 (0-1)+5.0 ✗ / 48.5 O
109/06vsUNLV logoUNLV+8.9 / 47.236%L 6-21 (0-2)+3.0 ✗ / 55.5 U
209/13vsNew Mexico State logoNew Mexico State-4.1 / 46.057%W 29-19 (1-2)-7.5 ✓ / 50.0 U
3IDLE
409/26@Wyoming logoWyoming+0.4 / 35.349%L 10-27 (1-3)-2.5 ✗ / 44.5 U
510/04vsSan Jose State logoSan Jose State+0.2 / 43.750%L 16-20 (1-4)-3.0 ✗ / 51.0 U
610/11@Arizona State logoArizona State+12.7 / 48.430%L 12-30 (1-5)+20.5 ✓ / 51.5 U
710/18vsNew Mexico logoNew Mexico+16.9 / 49.423%-+14.5 / 45.5
810/24@Northern Illinois logoNorthern Illinois-4.5 / 40.557%--
9IDLE
1011/07@UTEP logoUTEP-9.3 / 51.765%--
1111/15vsNorth Dakota State logoNorth Dakota State+11.8 / 43.431%--
1211/21@Nevada logoNevada+7.5 / 48.738%--
1311/29vsSacramento State logoSacramento State-21.5 / 44.184%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG17.119.9+2.8
Offense YPG384.5405.3+20.8
Offense YPP5.175.32+0.15
Defense PPG24.930.3+5.5
Defense YPG448.2446.8-1.4
Defense YPP6.216.54+0.32

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-8.4106
Median (Current)-9.2115
Mean (Historical)-5.673
Median (Historical)-5.891

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Hawai'i replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 1-5 Expected: 2.7 wins Culture Factor: -1.7 (Underperforming)
0-6
2.6%
1-5
13.4%
2-4
28.1%
3-3
31.0%
4-2
18.5%
5-1
5.8%
6-0
0.7%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
4.0
1-11
0.8%
2-10
7.8%
3-9
24.6%
4-8
35.1%
5-7
23.6%
6-6
7.3%
7-5
0.8%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Hawai'i isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Hawai'i do with another team's schedule?