| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/03 | vsBethune-Cookman | - | - | W 73-6 (1-0) | -43.5 ✓ / 58.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Pittsburgh | +8.3 / 46.9 | 37% | L 7-12 (1-1) | +7.5 ✓ / 55.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs Georgia State | -9.6 / 51.9 | 65% | W 44-30 (2-1) | -17.5 ✗ / 50.0 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs TCU | +0.9 / 41.6 | 48% | W 21-13 (3-1) | +3.5 ✓ / 48.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | @#25  Houston | +12.5 / 47.3 | 30% | L 17-27 (3-2) | +10.5 ✓ / 50.5 U |
| 6 | 10/10 | @ Oklahoma State | -1.1 / 47.9 | 52% | L 28-42 (3-3) | +10.0 ✗ / 53.5 O |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/24 | vs#18  BYU | +9.8 / 40.8 | 34% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/30 | vs Baylor | +3.4 / 53.3 | 45% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ Kansas | +7.6 / 50.0 | 38% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Arizona State | -3.2 / 45.2 | 55% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/20 | vs Iowa State | +4.3 / 45.4 | 43% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ Colorado | -2.9 / 39.6 | 55% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 20.5 | 23.8 | +3.3 |
| Offense YPG | 309.5 | 350.2 | +40.7 |
| Offense YPP | 5.37 | 5.76 | +0.39 |
| Defense PPG | 28.4 | 23.1 | -5.2 |
| Defense YPG | 383.2 | 347.1 | -36.2 |
| Defense YPP | 5.68 | 5.29 | -0.39 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +0.7 | 52 |
| Median (Current) | +5.1 | 35 |
| Mean (Historical) | -6.0 | 77 |
| Median (Historical) | -0.2 | 49 |
If UCF replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game UCF isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would UCF do with another team's schedule?