| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | @ UNLV | -3.7 / 54.2 | 56% | W 27-21 (1-0) | +5.0 ✓ / 55.5 U |
| 1 | 09/05 | vs Arkansas State | -20.7 / 57.5 | 83% | W 42-24 (2-0) | -10.5 ✓ / 52.0 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | @#21  Boise State | +8.0 / 61.5 | 37% | L 20-38 (2-1) | +9.0 ✗ / 54.5 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | vsUT Martin | - | - | W 45-21 (3-1) | -33.5 ✗ / 58.5 O |
| 4 | IDLE | |||||
| 5 | 10/03 | @ Charlotte | -30.3 / 54.6 | 99% | W 59-8 (4-1) | -18.5 ✓ / 52.5 O |
| 6 | 10/10 | vs UAB | -23.0 / 57.9 | 87% | W 38-13 (5-1) | -15.5 ✓ / 55.5 U |
| 7 | 10/16 | @ Tulane | -5.9 / 46.9 | 59% | - | -6.5 / 52.5 |
| 8 | 10/22 | vs East Carolina | -10.3 / 55.9 | 67% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Army | -11.6 / 51.7 | 69% | - | - |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/13 | @ South Florida | -0.4 / 53.3 | 51% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ Navy | -9.4 / 55.5 | 65% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/27 | vs Temple | -16.9 / 59.3 | 77% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 32.8 | 32.7 | -0.1 |
| Offense YPG | 442.8 | 429.7 | -13.0 |
| Offense YPP | 6.71 | 6.73 | +0.02 |
| Defense PPG | 25.1 | 24.9 | -0.2 |
| Defense YPG | 407.8 | 355.8 | -51.9 |
| Defense YPP | 6.26 | 6.19 | -0.07 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -6.2 | 91 |
| Median (Current) | -2.8 | 79 |
| Mean (Historical) | -10.7 | 114 |
| Median (Historical) | -11.1 | 122 |
If Memphis replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Memphis isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Memphis do with another team's schedule?