| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vs#21  Boise State | -8.4 / 56.0 | 63% | W 34-27 (1-0) | -25.0 ✗ / 51.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Oklahoma State | -17.8 / 55.0 | 78% | L 31-39 (1-1) | -24.5 ✗ / 55.5 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | vsPortland State | - | - | W 84-0 (2-1) | -58.5 ✓ / 71.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | @#19  USC | -2.8 / 59.9 | 54% | W 41-27 (3-1) | -3.5 ✓ / 60.5 O |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/10 | vs UCLA | -9.2 / 54.1 | 65% | L 15-17 (3-2) | -10.0 ✗ / 57.5 U |
| 7 | 10/17 | vs#14  Nebraska | -5.7 / 55.1 | 59% | - | -6.5 / 51.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | @ Illinois | -11.8 / 57.3 | 69% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs#22  Northwestern | -7.1 / 49.1 | 61% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @#5  Ohio State | +10.4 / 49.5 | 33% | - | +6.0 / 52.5 |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Michigan | -9.4 / 46.1 | 65% | - | -13.5 / 53.5 |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ Michigan State | -13.6 / 50.1 | 72% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs Washington | -13.7 / 50.2 | 72% | - | -15.5 / 54.5 |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 30.4 | 35.5 | +5.1 |
| Offense YPG | 700.6 | 509.9 | -190.7 |
| Offense YPP | 6.30 | 6.77 | +0.47 |
| Defense PPG | 26.8 | 18.3 | -8.5 |
| Defense YPG | 649.6 | 325.8 | -323.8 |
| Defense YPP | 5.49 | 4.72 | -0.77 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +5.8 | 20 |
| Median (Current) | +10.0 | 9 |
| Mean (Historical) | -3.7 | 55 |
| Median (Historical) | +6.1 | 18 |
If Oregon replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Oregon isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Oregon do with another team's schedule?