| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/03 | vsUAlbany | - | - | W 21-17 (1-0) | -18.5 ✗ / 47.5 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Florida International | +6.9 / 42.7 | 39% | L 20-33 (1-1) | +8.5 ✗ / 47.5 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | @#24  Penn State | +23.8 / 49.8 | 12% | L 13-55 (1-2) | +39.5 ✗ / 48.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vsRobert Morris | - | - | W 31-28 (2-2) | -27.5 ✗ / 46.5 O |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs Western Michigan | +4.2 / 39.6 | 43% | L 17-20 (2-3) | +13.5 ✓ / 46.5 U |
| 6 | 10/10 | @ Toledo | +11.2 / 52.3 | 32% | W 23-8 (3-3) | +19.0 ✓ / 55.5 U |
| 7 | 10/17 | vs Massachusetts | -12.4 / 45.1 | 70% | - | -3.5 / 44.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs Bowling Green | -6.4 / 44.4 | 60% | - | - |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/04 | @ Miami (OH) | +2.0 / 48.4 | 47% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/11 | @ Ball State | -8.5 / 48.6 | 64% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/18 | vs Central Michigan | -2.7 / 46.4 | 54% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/27 | @ Akron | -7.3 / 47.9 | 62% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 20.8 | 20.0 | -0.7 |
| Offense YPG | 317.0 | 319.9 | +2.9 |
| Offense YPP | 4.88 | 4.80 | -0.07 |
| Defense PPG | 28.1 | 30.0 | +1.9 |
| Defense YPG | 383.8 | 423.9 | +40.1 |
| Defense YPP | 5.95 | 6.41 | +0.46 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -13.4 | 135 |
| Median (Current) | -12.2 | 134 |
| Mean (Historical) | -10.1 | 111 |
| Median (Historical) | -4.9 | 80 |
If Buffalo replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Buffalo isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Buffalo do with another team's schedule?