| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | @#5  Ohio State | +47.5 / 58.1 | 0% | L 3-56 (0-1) | +51.0 ✗ / 56.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | vsStony Brook | - | - | W 41-17 (1-1) | -13.5 ✓ / 53.0 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | @ Liberty | +24.3 / 51.0 | 11% | L 15-51 (1-2) | +14.5 ✗ / 49.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | @ Kent State | +3.4 / 48.1 | 45% | L 13-26 (1-3) | +2.5 ✗ / 51.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs Toledo | +17.9 / 55.3 | 21% | L 24-39 (1-4) | +20.5 ✓ / 52.5 O |
| 6 | 10/10 | @#22  Northwestern | +35.3 / 52.8 | 0% | L 14-45 (1-5) | +35.0 ✓ / 53.0 O |
| 7 | 10/17 | @ Bowling Green | +9.2 / 45.7 | 35% | - | +7.5 / 44.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs Sacramento State | -11.0 / 43.9 | 68% | - | - |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/04 | @ Massachusetts | +3.1 / 45.9 | 45% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/11 | vs Buffalo | +8.5 / 48.6 | 36% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/18 | @ Ohio | +18.1 / 50.2 | 21% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs Central Michigan | +8.4 / 48.1 | 37% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 13.9 | 15.8 | +1.9 |
| Offense YPG | 270.9 | 276.5 | +5.7 |
| Offense YPP | 4.49 | 4.58 | +0.09 |
| Defense PPG | 40.5 | 37.2 | -3.3 |
| Defense YPG | 463.4 | 454.0 | -9.3 |
| Defense YPP | 7.09 | 6.80 | -0.29 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -8.9 | 111 |
| Median (Current) | -10.0 | 122 |
| Mean (Historical) | -3.1 | 52 |
| Median (Historical) | -1.4 | 58 |
If Ball State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Ball State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Ball State do with another team's schedule?