| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vsTarleton State | - | - | L 13-20 (0-1) | -2.0 ✗ / 48.0 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | @#14  Nebraska | +30.7 / 53.5 | 1% | L 7-56 (0-2) | +30.5 ✗ / 49.0 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | @ Iowa State | +23.5 / 47.6 | 12% | L 7-55 (0-3) | +23.0 ✗ / 43.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs South Florida | +14.6 / 44.8 | 27% | L 6-14 (0-4) | +17.5 ✓ / 48.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | @ Miami (OH) | +6.1 / 46.0 | 40% | W 24-20 (1-4) | +12.0 ✓ / 43.0 O |
| 6 | 10/10 | vs Sacramento State | -17.1 / 41.2 | 77% | W 38-10 (2-4) | -9.5 ✓ / 43.5 O |
| 7 | 10/17 | vs Ball State | -9.2 / 45.7 | 65% | - | -7.5 / 44.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | @ Buffalo | +6.4 / 44.4 | 40% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | @ Western Michigan | +12.7 / 37.5 | 30% | - | - |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/11 | vs Kent State | -8.3 / 44.5 | 63% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ Toledo | +15.1 / 50.3 | 26% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs Massachusetts | -8.4 / 42.5 | 64% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 20.5 | 17.1 | -3.4 |
| Offense YPG | 275.6 | 271.6 | -4.1 |
| Offense YPP | 5.01 | 4.72 | -0.29 |
| Defense PPG | 26.9 | 30.9 | +4.0 |
| Defense YPG | 347.0 | 374.3 | +27.3 |
| Defense YPP | 5.67 | 6.25 | +0.59 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -10.2 | 123 |
| Median (Current) | -10.3 | 124 |
| Mean (Historical) | -7.7 | 97 |
| Median (Historical) | -0.6 | 55 |
If Bowling Green replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Bowling Green isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Bowling Green do with another team's schedule?