Florida International

BMPR #89 AP NR Coaches NR 3-2 Conference USA
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-5.1
Rank #89 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
20.1
Rank #110
Defense (Adj PPG)
25.2
Rank #65
Actual Record
3-2
All games played
Projected Wins
7.0
7 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.0
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05@South Florida logoSouth Florida+11.2 / 41.932%L 9-19 (0-1)+14.5 ✓ / 53.0 U
209/12vsBuffalo logoBuffalo-6.9 / 42.761%W 33-20 (1-1)-8.5 ✓ / 47.5 O
309/19@Florida Atlantic logoFlorida Atlantic-0.7 / 54.151%L 10-16 (1-2)+5.0 ✗ / 62.0 U
409/26vsLong Island University--W 20-3 (2-2)-37.5 ✗ / 54.5 U
5IDLE
610/07vsNew Mexico State logoNew Mexico State-8.4 / 41.963%W 22-3 (3-2)-7.0 ✓ / 46.5 U
710/14@Jacksonville State logoJacksonville State+0.4 / 45.349%-+3.0 / 45.5
810/20vsMiddle Tennessee logoMiddle Tennessee-11.8 / 43.369%--
910/31@Liberty logoLiberty+8.3 / 43.437%--
1011/07vsMissouri State logoMissouri State-11.3 / 44.168%--
1111/14@Delaware logoDelaware-3.2 / 46.755%--
1211/21@Kennesaw State logoKennesaw State+0.6 / 42.649%--
1311/28vsSam Houston logoSam Houston-14.1 / 44.873%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG30.920.1-10.7
Offense YPG408.1347.1-61.1
Offense YPP5.935.21-0.72
Defense PPG19.025.2+6.2
Defense YPG319.5342.0+22.5
Defense YPP4.835.47+0.64

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-11.3128
Median (Current)-10.8126
Mean (Historical)-10.6113
Median (Historical)-12.3129

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Florida International replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 3-2 Expected: 3.0 wins Culture Factor: -0.0 (Neutral)
0-5
0.2%
1-4
5.6%
2-3
23.5%
3-2
38.6%
4-1
26.0%
5-0
6.1%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
7.0
3-9
0.2%
4-8
2.1%
5-7
9.4%
6-6
22.4%
7-5
30.5%
8-4
23.8%
9-3
9.9%
10-2
1.7%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Florida International isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Florida International do with another team's schedule?