Notre Dame

BMPR #2 AP #2 Coaches #2 6-0 FBS Independents
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+26.3
Rank #2
Offense (Adj PPG)
41.8
Rank #1
Defense (Adj PPG)
15.6
Rank #7
Actual Record
6-0
All games played
Projected Wins
11.0
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
5.5
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/06vsWisconsin logoWisconsin-16.1 / 46.676%W 41-13 (1-0)-20.5 ✓ / 46.5 O
209/12vsRice logoRice-40.8 / 56.7100%W 52-0 (2-0)-45.0 ✓ / 54.5 U
309/19vsMichigan State logoMichigan State-27.2 / 53.994%W 27-10 (3-0)-29.0 ✗ / 51.5 U
409/26@Purdue logoPurdue-24.5 / 62.089%W 49-10 (4-0)-27.5 ✓ / 57.5 O
510/03@North Carolina logoNorth Carolina-22.9 / 51.087%W 37-26 (5-0)-21.0 ✗ / 46.5 O
610/10vsStanford logoStanford-41.3 / 61.5100%W 58-7 (6-0)-39.5 ✓ / 55.0 O
710/17@#18 BYU logoBYU-8.4 / 47.363%--11.5 / 47.5
8IDLE
910/31@Navy logoNavy-29.8 / 56.198%--
1011/08vs#6 Miami logoMiami-3.6 / 49.056%--6.5 / 54.5
1111/14vsBoston College logoBoston College-35.6 / 54.5100%--
1211/22vsSMU logoSMU-23.6 / 58.188%--17.5 / 56.5
1311/28@Syracuse logoSyracuse-30.8 / 59.099%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG47.941.8-6.0
Offense YPG459.5457.4-2.1
Offense YPP7.227.06-0.16
Defense PPG11.615.6+4.0
Defense YPG229.8259.2+29.4
Defense YPP4.174.75+0.58

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+0.654
Median (Current)-0.162
Mean (Historical)-5.571
Median (Historical)-5.688

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Notre Dame replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 6-0 Expected: 5.5 wins Culture Factor: +0.5 (Winners Win)
2-4
0.0%
3-3
0.7%
4-2
8.1%
5-1
36.2%
6-0
55.0%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
11.0
7-5
0.0%
8-4
0.1%
9-3
2.6%
10-2
21.1%
11-1
46.0%
12-0
30.3%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Notre Dame isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Notre Dame do with another team's schedule?