| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/06 | vs UCLA | +13.2 / 55.2 | 29% | L 24-45 (0-1) | +2.5 ✗ / 53.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Syracuse | +0.2 / 52.3 | 50% | W 21-18 (1-1) | +4.0 ✓ / 56.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | vsWagner | - | - | W 49-7 (2-1) | -58.5 ✗ / 65.5 U |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs Clemson | +4.3 / 48.8 | 43% | L 10-24 (2-2) | +2.5 ✗ / 52.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | @ UNLV | +8.1 / 50.0 | 37% | L 31-39 (2-3) | +1.5 ✗ / 51.5 O |
| 6 | 10/10 | vs Virginia Tech | +1.7 / 54.4 | 47% | W 25-20 (3-3) | +10.0 ✓ / 53.0 U |
| 7 | 10/18 | vs Wake Forest | +13.3 / 53.6 | 29% | - | +9.5 / 54.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | @ SMU | +13.1 / 54.8 | 29% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | @ NC State | +6.3 / 57.6 | 40% | - | - |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/14 | @ Virginia | +11.0 / 48.9 | 32% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Stanford | -9.5 / 53.3 | 65% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs Pittsburgh | +9.3 / 53.2 | 35% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 23.5 | 23.9 | +0.4 |
| Offense YPG | 357.9 | 353.7 | -4.2 |
| Offense YPP | 5.02 | 5.08 | +0.05 |
| Defense PPG | 29.8 | 28.7 | -1.0 |
| Defense YPG | 387.1 | 370.3 | -16.8 |
| Defense YPP | 6.13 | 6.10 | -0.03 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -1.2 | 61 |
| Median (Current) | +1.7 | 52 |
| Mean (Historical) | -7.4 | 93 |
| Median (Historical) | -1.9 | 64 |
If California replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game California isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would California do with another team's schedule?