| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | @ Virginia | +7.7 / 53.4 | 38% | L 8-34 (0-1) | +4.0 ✗ / 50.5 U |
| 2 | 09/11 | vsRichmond | - | - | W 73-0 (1-1) | -33.0 ✓ / 50.5 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | @ Vanderbilt | +10.4 / 62.5 | 33% | L 31-35 (1-2) | +3.0 ✗ / 50.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs App State | -11.0 / 55.7 | 68% | W 41-31 (2-2) | -12.5 ✗ / 56.5 O |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs Louisville | +8.0 / 62.2 | 37% | W 31-28 (3-2) | +5.5 ✓ / 56.5 O |
| 6 | 10/10 | vs Wake Forest | +9.6 / 57.9 | 35% | L 14-38 (3-3) | +3.5 ✗ / 56.5 U |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/24 | @ Stanford | -9.1 / 58.1 | 65% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs California | -6.3 / 57.6 | 60% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | vs Duke | +4.3 / 57.6 | 43% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Syracuse | -8.7 / 56.8 | 64% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ Florida State | +10.6 / 60.4 | 33% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ North Carolina | +2.7 / 50.3 | 46% | - | -1.5 / 55.5 |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 24.4 | 28.0 | +3.6 |
| Offense YPG | 322.4 | 387.9 | +65.5 |
| Offense YPP | 4.91 | 5.81 | +0.89 |
| Defense PPG | 29.6 | 29.0 | -0.6 |
| Defense YPG | 409.5 | 392.7 | -16.8 |
| Defense YPP | 6.63 | 6.39 | -0.24 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -2.1 | 69 |
| Median (Current) | +1.5 | 54 |
| Mean (Historical) | -0.0 | 27 |
| Median (Historical) | +7.7 | 12 |
If NC State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game NC State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would NC State do with another team's schedule?