| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/07 | @ Florida State | +4.2 / 57.6 | 43% | W 27-24 (1-0) | -3.0 P / 54.5 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | vsUC Davis | - | - | W 56-10 (2-0) | -32.5 ✓ / 59.0 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | @ Louisville | +6.5 / 59.4 | 40% | L 31-41 (2-1) | +3.0 ✗ / 57.5 O |
| 4 | 09/27 | vs Missouri State | -22.9 / 54.5 | 87% | W 34-24 (3-1) | -30.5 ✗ / 60.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs Boston College | -15.8 / 50.2 | 75% | W 25-16 (4-1) | -21.5 ✗ / 55.5 U |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/17 | vs Virginia | -4.5 / 50.0 | 57% | - | -8.5 / 54.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs California | -13.1 / 54.8 | 71% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | @ Syracuse | -10.1 / 54.4 | 66% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | vs Virginia Tech | -8.6 / 56.3 | 64% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Wake Forest | +2.5 / 54.8 | 46% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/22 | @#2  Notre Dame | +23.6 / 58.1 | 12% | - | +17.5 / 56.5 |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ Stanford | -15.1 / 56.5 | 74% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 32.6 | 29.9 | -2.7 |
| Offense YPG | 389.2 | 368.6 | -20.7 |
| Offense YPP | 6.43 | 6.24 | -0.19 |
| Defense PPG | 22.8 | 24.4 | +1.7 |
| Defense YPG | 306.2 | 348.5 | +42.2 |
| Defense YPP | 5.30 | 5.34 | +0.04 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -2.1 | 68 |
| Median (Current) | -2.8 | 77 |
| Mean (Historical) | -7.2 | 89 |
| Median (Historical) | -8.6 | 106 |
If SMU replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game SMU isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would SMU do with another team's schedule?