Wake Forest

BMPR #27 AP #21 Coaches #23 5-1 ACC
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+10.4
Rank #27
Offense (Adj PPG)
31.8
Rank #28
Defense (Adj PPG)
21.4
Rank #29
Actual Record
5-1
All games played
Projected Wins
9.1
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
4.0
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/03vsAkron logoAkron-32.3 / 55.3100%W 38-16 (1-0)-27.5 ✗ / 50.5 O
209/12@Purdue logoPurdue-7.6 / 57.962%W 38-36 (2-0)-2.5 ✗ / 51.5 O
309/18vs#6 Miami logoMiami+11.4 / 48.232%L 20-33 (2-1)+20.0 ✓ / 56.0 U
409/26@Louisville logoLouisville+1.6 / 58.247%W 30-27 (3-1)+11.5 ✓ / 57.5 U
510/03vsStanford logoStanford-24.7 / 56.190%W 57-3 (4-1)-14.5 ✓ / 54.0 O
610/10@NC State logoNC State-9.6 / 57.965%W 38-14 (5-1)-3.5 ✓ / 56.5 U
710/18@California logoCalifornia-13.3 / 53.671%--9.5 / 54.5
8IDLE
910/31vsVirginia logoVirginia-9.6 / 48.365%--
1011/07vsMerrimack----
1111/14@SMU logoSMU-2.5 / 54.854%--
1211/21@Georgia Tech logoGeorgia Tech-8.2 / 56.563%--
1311/28vsDuke logoDuke-7.5 / 53.062%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG38.131.8-6.3
Offense YPG460.2402.1-58.1
Offense YPP7.166.36-0.81
Defense PPG24.021.4-2.6
Defense YPG334.0305.1-28.9
Defense YPP4.754.66-0.09

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-2.067
Median (Current)-0.061
Mean (Historical)+0.921
Median (Historical)-1.459

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Wake Forest replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 5-1 Expected: 4.0 wins Culture Factor: +1.0 (Winners Win)
1-5
0.5%
2-4
6.5%
3-3
24.5%
4-2
38.2%
5-1
24.7%
6-0
5.6%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
9.1
5-7
0.0%
6-6
0.9%
7-5
6.2%
8-4
20.8%
9-3
34.3%
10-2
28.4%
11-1
9.4%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Wake Forest isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Wake Forest do with another team's schedule?