| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | vs NC State | -7.7 / 53.4 | 62% | W 34-8 (1-0) | -4.0 ✓ / 50.5 U |
| 2 | 09/11 | vsNorfolk State | - | - | W 59-3 (2-0) | -47.0 ✓ / 56.5 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs West Virginia | -9.0 / 60.1 | 64% | L 27-38 (2-1) | -10.5 ✗ / 51.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs Delaware | -17.2 / 50.7 | 78% | W 42-3 (3-1) | -19.5 ✓ / 52.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | @ Florida State | +5.6 / 51.9 | 41% | L 7-38 (3-2) | -1.5 ✗ / 51.5 U |
| 6 | 10/10 | vs Syracuse | -13.0 / 48.7 | 71% | W 28-25 (4-2) | -14.0 ✗ / 49.0 O |
| 7 | 10/17 | @ SMU | +4.5 / 50.0 | 43% | - | +8.5 / 54.5 |
| 8 | 10/23 | vs Duke | -1.1 / 48.9 | 52% | - | -6.5 / 53.5 |
| 9 | 10/31 | @ Wake Forest | +9.6 / 48.3 | 35% | - | - |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/14 | vs California | -11.0 / 48.9 | 68% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs North Carolina | -6.1 / 42.5 | 60% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ Virginia Tech | -1.6 / 50.4 | 53% | - | +1.5 / 53.5 |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 27.4 | 26.1 | -1.3 |
| Offense YPG | 388.8 | 371.1 | -17.6 |
| Offense YPP | 5.46 | 5.13 | -0.33 |
| Defense PPG | 20.4 | 22.5 | +2.1 |
| Defense YPG | 300.4 | 315.4 | +15.1 |
| Defense YPP | 5.00 | 5.11 | +0.11 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -3.0 | 76 |
| Median (Current) | -0.9 | 68 |
| Mean (Historical) | -7.5 | 94 |
| Median (Historical) | -7.3 | 98 |
If Virginia replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Virginia isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Virginia do with another team's schedule?