| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vs Miami (OH) | -20.1 / 52.5 | 82% | W 59-14 (1-0) | -16.0 ✓ / 47.0 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | vs UCF | -8.3 / 46.9 | 63% | W 12-7 (2-0) | -7.5 ✗ / 55.5 U |
| 3 | 09/17 | vs Syracuse | -16.5 / 52.8 | 77% | W 27-13 (3-0) | -11.0 ✓ / 51.5 U |
| 4 | 09/26 | vsBucknell | - | - | W 59-0 (4-0) | -54.5 ✓ / 63.5 U |
| 5 | 10/02 | @ Virginia Tech | -5.3 / 54.1 | 59% | W 35-33 (5-0) | +1.5 ✓ / 53.5 O |
| 6 | 10/10 | vs North Carolina | -9.6 / 46.0 | 65% | L 17-21 (5-1) | -3.5 ✗ / 47.5 U |
| 7 | 10/17 | @ Boston College | -11.9 / 48.0 | 69% | - | -6.5 / 45.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | @#6  Miami | +19.1 / 48.5 | 19% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Georgia Tech | -10.3 / 55.1 | 67% | - | - |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Florida State | -2.9 / 55.2 | 55% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ Louisville | +4.4 / 56.7 | 43% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ California | -9.3 / 53.2 | 65% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 26.8 | 29.7 | +2.9 |
| Offense YPG | 364.0 | 391.0 | +27.0 |
| Offense YPP | 5.53 | 5.78 | +0.26 |
| Defense PPG | 23.9 | 22.7 | -1.2 |
| Defense YPG | 359.1 | 338.8 | -20.3 |
| Defense YPP | 5.76 | 5.52 | -0.24 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -2.2 | 70 |
| Median (Current) | -0.7 | 67 |
| Mean (Historical) | -9.3 | 105 |
| Median (Historical) | -4.1 | 76 |
If Pittsburgh replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Pittsburgh isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Pittsburgh do with another team's schedule?