Virginia Tech

BMPR #70 AP NR Coaches NR 4-2 ACC
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-0.7
Rank #70
Offense (Adj PPG)
26.7
Rank #61
Defense (Adj PPG)
27.4
Rank #80
Actual Record
4-2
All games played
Projected Wins
6.6
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.7
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05vsVMI--W 73-3 (1-0)-54.5 ✓ / 60.5 O
209/12vsOld Dominion logoOld Dominion-8.9 / 50.064%W 44-21 (2-0)-18.0 ✓ / 47.5 O
309/19@Maryland logoMaryland-2.2 / 55.954%W 35-26 (3-0)-2.5 ✓ / 53.0 O
409/26@Boston College logoBoston College-5.2 / 49.558%W 21-14 (4-0)-14.5 ✗ / 45.5 U
510/02vsPittsburgh logoPittsburgh+5.3 / 54.141%L 33-35 (4-1)-1.5 ✗ / 53.5 O
610/10@California logoCalifornia-1.7 / 54.453%L 20-25 (4-2)-10.0 ✗ / 53.0 U
710/17vsGeorgia Tech logoGeorgia Tech-2.3 / 56.954%--9.5 / 55.5
810/24@Clemson logoClemson+5.3 / 50.141%--
9IDLE
1011/07@SMU logoSMU+8.6 / 56.336%--
1111/14vsStanford logoStanford-14.2 / 55.673%--
1211/21@#6 Miami logoMiami+27.6 / 51.16%-+16.5 / 56.5
1311/28vsVirginia logoVirginia+1.6 / 50.447%--1.5 / 53.5

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG23.926.7+2.8
Offense YPG401.9423.4+21.5
Offense YPP6.086.22+0.14
Defense PPG27.027.4+0.4
Defense YPG351.8352.6+0.9
Defense YPP5.515.91+0.40

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-2.472
Median (Current)-2.776
Mean (Historical)-6.282
Median (Historical)-2.666

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Virginia Tech replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 4-2 Expected: 3.7 wins Culture Factor: +0.3 (Neutral)
0-6
0.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-4
12.9%
3-3
28.7%
4-2
33.1%
5-1
18.6%
6-0
4.3%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
6.6
4-8
2.3%
5-7
14.2%
6-6
31.1%
7-5
32.4%
8-4
16.2%
9-3
3.6%
10-2
0.2%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Virginia Tech isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Virginia Tech do with another team's schedule?