| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vs Tulane | -8.9 / 42.8 | 64% | W 17-3 (1-0) | -8.0 ✓ / 50.5 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Illinois | +0.3 / 56.6 | 50% | W 31-27 (2-0) | +6.0 ✓ / 51.5 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs Stanford | -20.2 / 54.5 | 82% | W 35-7 (3-0) | -9.5 ✓ / 51.5 U |
| 4 | 09/26 | vsWilliam & Mary | - | - | W 62-7 (4-0) | -43.5 ✓ / 61.5 O |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/10 | @ Georgia Tech | -3.9 / 55.3 | 56% | L 25-28 (4-1) | -4.5 ✗ / 45.0 O |
| 7 | 10/17 | vs North Carolina | -8.4 / 46.3 | 63% | - | -3.5 / 47.5 |
| 8 | 10/23 | @ Virginia | +1.1 / 48.9 | 48% | - | +6.5 / 53.5 |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Boston College | -15.8 / 48.3 | 75% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ NC State | -4.3 / 57.6 | 57% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @#6  Miami | +20.8 / 48.9 | 17% | - | +21.0 / 55.5 |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Clemson | -5.7 / 48.6 | 59% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ Wake Forest | +7.5 / 53.0 | 38% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 29.1 | 29.1 | -0.0 |
| Offense YPG | 366.9 | 398.1 | +31.2 |
| Offense YPP | 5.37 | 6.00 | +0.64 |
| Defense PPG | 22.0 | 23.6 | +1.6 |
| Defense YPG | 367.9 | 353.8 | -14.1 |
| Defense YPP | 5.89 | 5.74 | -0.15 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -1.2 | 60 |
| Median (Current) | -0.6 | 66 |
| Mean (Historical) | -5.1 | 65 |
| Median (Historical) | -0.2 | 48 |
If Duke replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Duke isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Duke do with another team's schedule?