Tulane

BMPR #73 AP NR Coaches NR 2-3 American Athletic
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-1.1
Rank #73 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
20.6
Rank #108
Defense (Adj PPG)
21.8
Rank #31
Actual Record
2-3
All games played
Projected Wins
5.8
7 games remaining
Expected Wins
2.5
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05@Duke logoDuke+8.9 / 42.836%L 3-17 (0-1)+8.0 ✗ / 50.5 U
209/12vsSouth Alabama logoSouth Alabama-7.3 / 56.862%W 28-24 (1-1)-9.5 ✗ / 47.5 O
309/19@Kansas State logoKansas State+9.3 / 44.835%L 20-31 (1-2)+20.5 ✓ / 49.5 O
409/26vsSouthern Miss logoSouthern Miss-12.8 / 48.971%W 24-21 (2-2)-17.5 ✗ / 52.5 U
5IDLE
610/10@Army logoArmy+2.7 / 36.646%L 17-20 (2-3)+5.5 ✓ / 48.5 U
710/16vsMemphis logoMemphis+5.9 / 46.941%-+6.5 / 52.5
810/24vsUTSA logoUTSA-1.6 / 46.853%--
910/30@Charlotte logoCharlotte-18.7 / 38.580%--
1011/07vsTulsa logoTulsa-8.2 / 41.563%--
1111/14@Rice logoRice-8.5 / 39.064%--
1211/21vsNorth Texas logoNorth Texas+4.6 / 58.443%--
1311/27@South Florida logoSouth Florida+7.6 / 38.838%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG20.420.6+0.3
Offense YPG360.9339.3-21.6
Offense YPP5.825.69-0.13
Defense PPG21.921.8-0.1
Defense YPG385.5404.6+19.1
Defense YPP6.025.86-0.16

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-2.974
Median (Current)-1.271
Mean (Historical)-2.146
Median (Historical)-1.660

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Tulane replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 2-3 Expected: 2.5 wins Culture Factor: -0.5 (Neutral)
0-5
2.6%
1-4
15.2%
2-3
32.9%
3-2
32.4%
4-1
14.4%
5-0
2.5%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
5.8
2-10
0.3%
3-9
2.9%
4-8
11.7%
5-7
25.3%
6-6
30.7%
7-5
20.6%
8-4
7.3%
9-3
1.1%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Tulane isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Tulane do with another team's schedule?