Miami

BMPR #6 AP #3 Coaches #3 5-0 ACC
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+23.7
Rank #6
Offense (Adj PPG)
36.6
Rank #10
Defense (Adj PPG)
13.0
Rank #2
Actual Record
5-0
All games played
Projected Wins
10.7
7 games remaining
Expected Wins
4.4
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05@Stanford logoStanford-33.2 / 53.4100%W 45-6 (1-0)-24.5 ✓ / 46.5 O
209/11vsFlorida A&M--W 77-7 (2-0)-59.5 ✓ / 65.0 O
309/18@Wake Forest logoWake Forest-11.4 / 48.268%W 33-20 (3-0)-20.0 ✗ / 56.0 U
409/26vsCentral Michigan logoCentral Michigan-35.0 / 49.4100%W 52-3 (4-0)-41.5 ✓ / 52.5 O
510/03@Clemson logoClemson-18.2 / 45.379%W 41-13 (5-0)-14.0 ✓ / 49.5 O
6IDLE
710/17vsFlorida State logoFlorida State-20.9 / 50.583%--21.0 / 56.5
810/24vsPittsburgh logoPittsburgh-19.1 / 48.581%--
910/31@North Carolina logoNorth Carolina-20.7 / 43.483%--
1011/08@#2 Notre Dame logoNotre Dame+3.6 / 49.044%-+6.5 / 54.5
1111/14vsDuke logoDuke-20.8 / 48.983%--21.0 / 55.5
1211/21vsVirginia Tech logoVirginia Tech-27.6 / 51.194%--16.5 / 56.5
1311/28vsBoston College logoBoston College-32.7 / 47.0100%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG32.136.6+4.5
Offense YPG899.2544.1-355.2
Offense YPP5.816.84+1.03
Defense PPG14.113.0-1.2
Defense YPG836.0389.5-446.5
Defense YPP5.184.85-0.33

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-0.659
Median (Current)+0.757
Mean (Historical)-8.3101
Median (Historical)-4.879

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Miami replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 5-0 Expected: 4.4 wins Culture Factor: +0.6 (Winners Win)
2-3
0.3%
3-2
8.2%
4-1
40.0%
5-0
51.5%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
10.7
6-6
0.0%
7-5
0.1%
8-4
1.4%
9-3
8.8%
10-2
28.2%
11-1
41.8%
12-0
19.6%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Miami isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Miami do with another team's schedule?