| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/04 | vs UAB | -18.5 / 56.0 | 80% | W 42-23 (1-0) | -26.5 ✗ / 54.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | vs Duke | -0.3 / 56.6 | 50% | L 27-31 (1-1) | -6.0 ✗ / 51.5 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | vsSouthern Illinois | - | - | W 48-10 (2-1) | -34.5 ✓ / 55.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | @#5  Ohio State | +24.6 / 55.2 | 11% | L 19-42 (2-2) | +25.5 ✓ / 53.5 O |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs Purdue | -5.6 / 61.1 | 59% | L 17-24 (2-3) | -10.0 ✗ / 62.5 U |
| 6 | 10/10 | @ Michigan State | -0.3 / 52.7 | 51% | W 38-37 (3-3) | -2.5 ✗ / 48.0 O |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/24 | vs#10  Oregon | +11.8 / 57.3 | 31% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | @ Maryland | -6.3 / 58.1 | 60% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | vs#14  Nebraska | +9.1 / 59.8 | 35% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ UCLA | +10.1 / 58.2 | 34% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs#15  Iowa | +9.2 / 50.5 | 35% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @#22  Northwestern | +11.6 / 53.2 | 31% | - | -3.5 / 52.5 |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 24.6 | 29.9 | +5.3 |
| Offense YPG | 366.8 | 398.7 | +31.9 |
| Offense YPP | 5.89 | 6.26 | +0.37 |
| Defense PPG | 25.4 | 26.4 | +1.0 |
| Defense YPG | 353.2 | 358.9 | +5.6 |
| Defense YPP | 5.74 | 5.82 | +0.07 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +4.1 | 25 |
| Median (Current) | +8.1 | 24 |
| Mean (Historical) | -3.5 | 54 |
| Median (Historical) | -2.8 | 67 |
If Illinois replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Illinois isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Illinois do with another team's schedule?