| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vs Oregon State | -10.2 / 55.8 | 66% | W 33-20 (1-0) | -20.5 ✗ / 50.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | vsSouthern | - | - | W 77-6 (2-0) | -51.5 ✓ / 61.5 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | @#8  Texas Tech | +12.2 / 50.5 | 30% | L 26-28 (2-1) | +7.5 ✓ / 52.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | @ Georgia Southern | -16.0 / 56.8 | 76% | W 42-28 (3-1) | -17.5 ✗ / 56.5 O |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs UCF | -12.5 / 47.3 | 70% | W 27-17 (4-1) | -10.5 ✗ / 50.5 U |
| 6 | 10/10 | @ Kansas State | -2.9 / 54.8 | 55% | W 35-16 (5-1) | +2.5 ✓ / 54.5 U |
| 7 | 10/17 | vs Oklahoma State | -16.9 / 53.7 | 77% | - | -4.5 / 59.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | @#7  Utah | +13.9 / 52.8 | 28% | - | +6.5 / 50.5 |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/07 | vs Cincinnati | -11.6 / 54.3 | 69% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ Colorado | -12.9 / 45.2 | 71% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ West Virginia | -14.5 / 65.1 | 73% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs Baylor | -7.0 / 59.0 | 61% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 29.8 | 32.0 | +2.3 |
| Offense YPG | 434.8 | 429.4 | -5.3 |
| Offense YPP | 6.09 | 6.32 | +0.23 |
| Defense PPG | 22.1 | 20.8 | -1.3 |
| Defense YPG | 365.5 | 340.1 | -25.4 |
| Defense YPP | 5.87 | 5.53 | -0.34 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +0.8 | 51 |
| Median (Current) | +1.7 | 53 |
| Mean (Historical) | -4.0 | 57 |
| Median (Historical) | -5.4 | 85 |
If Houston replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Houston isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Houston do with another team's schedule?