Rutgers

BMPR #105 AP NR Coaches NR 1-4 Big Ten
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-8.0
Rank #105 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
26.0
Rank #68
Defense (Adj PPG)
34.0
Rank #122
Actual Record
1-4
All games played
Projected Wins
2.7
7 games remaining
Expected Wins
2.4
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/03vsMassachusetts logoMassachusetts-16.9 / 55.377%L 21-37 (0-1)-29.0 ✗ / 54.5 O
209/11@Boston College logoBoston College+1.2 / 54.448%L 21-28 (0-2)+3.0 ✗ / 53.5 U
309/19vs#19 USC logoUSC+20.2 / 69.618%L 35-42 (0-3)+21.0 ✓ / 59.5 O
409/25vsHoward--W 58-7 (1-3)-42.0 ✓ / 57.5 O
510/04vs#1 Indiana logoIndiana+33.6 / 58.10%L 15-47 (1-4)+24.5 ✗ / 56.5 O
6IDLE
710/17@Maryland logoMaryland+5.2 / 61.742%-+4.5 / 59.5
810/24@#22 Northwestern logoNorthwestern+23.5 / 57.912%--
910/31vsMichigan logoMichigan+14.7 / 54.226%--
1011/07@Wisconsin logoWisconsin+18.1 / 51.521%--
1111/14vs#14 Nebraska logoNebraska+22.2 / 65.614%--
1211/21@#24 Penn State logoPenn State+23.6 / 59.312%--
1311/28vsMichigan State logoMichigan State+6.2 / 56.740%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG23.126.0+2.9
Offense YPG368.2394.4+26.1
Offense YPP5.896.02+0.12
Defense PPG36.434.0-2.4
Defense YPG446.2430.6-15.6
Defense YPP7.357.27-0.07

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+2.440
Median (Current)+8.422
Mean (Historical)-5.366
Median (Historical)-9.2114

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Rutgers replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 1-4 Expected: 2.4 wins Culture Factor: -1.4 (Underperforming)
0-5
0.5%
1-4
11.5%
2-3
43.9%
3-2
37.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-0
0.0%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
2.7
0-12
0.0%
1-11
13.4%
2-10
32.9%
3-9
32.4%
4-8
15.9%
5-7
4.6%
6-6
0.7%
7-5
0.1%
8-4
0.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Rutgers isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Rutgers do with another team's schedule?