Historical View
Current
Power Rating
-9.3
Rank #111 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
18.8
Rank #118
Defense (Adj PPG)
28.8
Rank #83
Actual Record
0-1
All games played
Projected Wins
4.7
11 games remaining
Expected Wins
0.5
Based on ratings
Schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | @ Eastern Michigan | +2.1 | 47% | L 17-28 (0-1) | +9.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| 1 | 09/06 | vsMississippi Valley State | - | - | - | -35.5 / 56 |
| 2 | 09/13 | @ Fresno State | +9.9 | 34% | - | - |
| 3 | 09/20 | vsNorth Dakota State | +14.3 | 27% | - | - |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs Massachusetts | -24.8 | 90% | - | - |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/10 | @ Bowling Green | -0.0 | 50% | - | - |
| 7 | 10/17 | vs Ohio | +5.2 | 42% | - | - |
| 8 | 10/24 | @ Ball State | -6.6 | 61% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Kent State | -6.9 | 61% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/04 | vs Toledo | +14.4 | 27% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/11 | @ Central Michigan | +4.2 | 43% | - | - |
| 12 | IDLE | |||||
| 13 | 11/29 | @ Hawai'i | +11.3 | 32% | - | - |
Unit Breakdown
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 17.0 | 18.8 | +1.8 |
| Offense YPG | 281.0 | 299.4 | +18.4 |
| Offense YPP | 4.68 | 4.85 | +0.17 |
| Defense PPG | 28.0 | 28.8 | +0.8 |
| Defense YPG | 371.0 | 373.3 | +2.3 |
| Defense YPP | 5.62 | 5.67 | +0.05 |
Strength of Schedule
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -10.0 | 136 |
| Median (Current) | -10.0 | 136 |
| Mean (Historical) | +0.0 | 34 |
| Median (Historical) | +0.0 | 34 |
Expected Wins (Retrospective)
If Sacramento State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Actual: 0-1
Expected: 0.5 wins
Culture Factor: -0.5 (Neutral)
Projected Wins
Projected Wins
4.7
Entertaining Hypotheticals
Fantasy Matchup
Model a game Sacramento State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
Schedule Swap
How would Sacramento State do with another team's schedule?