| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | @ Eastern Michigan | +19.8 / 45.7 | 18% | L 17-28 (0-1) | +9.0 ✗ / 53.0 U |
| 1 | 09/06 | vsMississippi Valley State | - | - | W 52-0 (1-1) | -38.5 ✓ / 56.5 U |
| 2 | 09/13 | @ Fresno State | +34.8 / 46.9 | 0% | L 3-49 (1-2) | +17.5 ✗ / 43.5 O |
| 3 | 09/20 | vs North Dakota State | +31.2 / 43.9 | 0% | L 10-31 (1-3) | +26.5 ✓ / 50.5 U |
| 4 | 09/27 | vs Massachusetts | +9.9 / 41.3 | 34% | L 6-35 (1-4) | +6.0 ✗ / 49.5 U |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/10 | @ Bowling Green | +19.1 / 43.4 | 19% | L 10-38 (1-5) | +9.5 ✗ / 43.5 O |
| 7 | 10/18 | vs Ohio | +26.2 / 48.3 | 8% | L 7-48 (1-6) | +17.5 ✗ / 46.5 O |
| 8 | 10/24 | @ Ball State | +15.8 / 47.0 | 25% | - | +10.5 / 50.5 |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Kent State | +8.3 / 40.5 | 37% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/04 | vs Toledo | +28.2 / 52.3 | 5% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/11 | @ Central Michigan | +23.6 / 43.0 | 12% | - | - |
| 12 | IDLE | |||||
| 13 | 11/29 | @ Hawai'i | +22.5 / 41.5 | 14% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 8.8 | 9.1 | +0.2 |
| Offense YPG | 286.0 | 283.8 | -2.2 |
| Offense YPP | 4.59 | 4.54 | -0.05 |
| Defense PPG | 38.2 | 40.9 | +2.7 |
| Defense YPG | 409.0 | 454.8 | +45.8 |
| Defense YPP | 6.82 | 7.29 | +0.48 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -12.2 | 133 |
| Median (Current) | -13.1 | 137 |
| Mean (Historical) | -13.4 | 135 |
| Median (Historical) | -11.7 | 127 |
If Sacramento State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Sacramento State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Sacramento State do with another team's schedule?