Marshall

BMPR #118 AP NR Coaches NR 3-3 Sun Belt
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-11.9
Rank #118 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
22.0
Rank #99
Defense (Adj PPG)
33.9
Rank #120
Actual Record
3-3
All games played
Projected Wins
5.8
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
2.8
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05@#24 Penn State logoPenn State+26.6 / 55.47%L 0-45 (0-1)+23.0 ✗ / 52.0 U
209/12vsMiddle Tennessee logoMiddle Tennessee-6.8 / 52.661%W 28-26 (1-1)-13.0 ✗ / 55.5 U
309/19@Missouri State logoMissouri State-1.4 / 53.452%W 30-24 (2-1)-4.0 ✓ / 52.5 O
409/26vsGardner-Webb--W 36-35 (3-1)-24.5 ✗ / 56.5 O
510/03@James Madison logoJames Madison+25.1 / 57.410%L 17-45 (3-2)+14.5 ✗ / 55.5 O
610/10vsCoastal Carolina logoCoastal Carolina-4.0 / 52.656%L 21-27 (3-3)-4.5 ✗ / 58.0 U
7IDLE
810/20vsSouth Alabama logoSouth Alabama+3.9 / 71.444%--
910/31@Old Dominion logoOld Dominion+6.9 / 50.939%--
1011/07@Georgia Southern logoGeorgia Southern+7.5 / 58.738%--
1111/14vsApp State logoApp State-0.4 / 54.151%--
1211/21vsGeorgia State logoGeorgia State+2.9 / 60.445%--
1311/28@UL Monroe logoUL Monroe-9.3 / 54.265%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG21.122.0+0.9
Offense YPG397.4367.7-29.7
Offense YPP6.325.60-0.72
Defense PPG29.433.9+4.6
Defense YPG433.1467.1+33.9
Defense YPP6.226.77+0.55

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-9.5119
Median (Current)-8.1108
Mean (Historical)-7.898
Median (Historical)-12.5131

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Marshall replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 3-3 Expected: 2.8 wins Culture Factor: +0.2 (Neutral)
0-6
0.3%
1-5
7.9%
2-4
28.7%
3-3
39.2%
4-2
20.7%
5-1
3.0%
6-0
0.1%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
5.8
3-9
2.0%
4-8
11.4%
5-7
26.5%
6-6
31.6%
7-5
20.4%
8-4
7.1%
9-3
1.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Marshall isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Marshall do with another team's schedule?