| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vsMaine | - | - | W 55-3 (1-0) | -21.0 ✓ / 54.0 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ East Carolina | +11.2 / 49.2 | 32% | W 27-24 (2-0) | +6.5 ✓ / 56.0 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs Charlotte | -16.3 / 45.4 | 76% | W 26-21 (3-0) | -16.0 ✗ / 52.5 U |
| 4 | 09/26 | @ NC State | +11.0 / 55.7 | 32% | L 31-41 (3-1) | +12.5 ✓ / 56.5 O |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/10 | vs Old Dominion | +0.2 / 46.1 | 50% | L 3-10 (3-2) | -9.5 ✗ / 45.5 U |
| 7 | 10/17 | @ Coastal Carolina | -1.1 / 48.5 | 52% | - | -1.5 / 52.5 |
| 8 | 10/22 | vs James Madison | +16.9 / 52.4 | 23% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | @ Georgia Southern | +5.3 / 54.0 | 41% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | vs Georgia State | +0.8 / 55.7 | 49% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ Marshall | +0.4 / 54.1 | 49% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs UL Monroe | -15.2 / 50.5 | 74% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/27 | @ South Alabama | +5.9 / 65.9 | 41% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 21.9 | 21.0 | -0.9 |
| Offense YPG | 334.4 | 338.0 | +3.6 |
| Offense YPP | 5.10 | 5.14 | +0.03 |
| Defense PPG | 29.1 | 30.3 | +1.1 |
| Defense YPG | 426.2 | 407.1 | -19.2 |
| Defense YPP | 5.85 | 5.79 | -0.06 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -10.3 | 124 |
| Median (Current) | -7.0 | 102 |
| Mean (Historical) | -11.5 | 121 |
| Median (Historical) | -5.7 | 89 |
If App State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game App State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would App State do with another team's schedule?