Nebraska

BMPR #14 AP NR Coaches NR 5-1 Big Ten
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+14.7
Rank #14
Offense (Adj PPG)
35.4
Rank #14
Defense (Adj PPG)
20.7
Rank #24
Actual Record
5-1
All games played
Projected Wins
8.4
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
4.7
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05vsOhio logoOhio-22.6 / 55.586%W 49-21 (1-0)-24.0 ✓ / 46.5 O
209/12vsBowling Green logoBowling Green-30.7 / 53.599%W 56-7 (2-0)-30.5 ✓ / 49.0 O
309/19vsNorth Dakota--W 34-7 (3-0)-27.5 ✗ / 56.5 U
409/26@Michigan State logoMichigan State-10.8 / 52.767%W 31-13 (4-0)-6.0 ✓ / 48.5 U
510/03vsMaryland logoMaryland-21.9 / 58.085%W 48-23 (5-0)-15.5 ✓ / 52.5 O
610/10vs#1 Indiana logoIndiana+9.9 / 49.934%L 17-20 (5-1)+8.5 ✓ / 48.0 U
710/17@#10 Oregon logoOregon+5.7 / 55.141%-+6.5 / 51.5
8IDLE
910/31vsWashington logoWashington-11.4 / 52.668%--
1011/07@Illinois logoIllinois-9.1 / 59.865%--
1111/14@Rutgers logoRutgers-22.2 / 65.686%--
1211/21vs#5 Ohio State logoOhio State+8.2 / 52.437%--
1311/27@#15 Iowa logoIowa+3.7 / 49.144%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG31.935.4+3.6
Offense YPG406.4413.8+7.4
Offense YPP6.046.17+0.13
Defense PPG22.820.7-2.0
Defense YPG331.9324.6-7.3
Defense YPP5.875.76-0.11

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+2.143
Median (Current)+2.150
Mean (Historical)-3.353
Median (Historical)-3.771

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Nebraska replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 5-1 Expected: 4.7 wins Culture Factor: +0.3 (Neutral)
1-5
0.0%
2-4
0.7%
3-3
7.8%
4-2
30.9%
5-1
44.8%
6-0
15.7%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
8.4
5-7
0.3%
6-6
4.1%
7-5
16.6%
8-4
31.9%
9-3
30.6%
10-2
13.9%
11-1
2.5%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Nebraska isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Nebraska do with another team's schedule?