| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | @#14  Nebraska | +22.6 / 55.5 | 14% | L 21-49 (0-1) | +24.0 ✗ / 46.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | vs Jacksonville State | -4.6 / 50.3 | 57% | W 29-27 (1-1) | -2.0 P / 50.0 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | @ South Alabama | +1.9 / 65.8 | 47% | L 36-41 (1-2) | +7.0 ✓ / 50.0 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vsStonehill | - | - | W 35-7 (2-2) | -32.5 ✗ / 53.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | @ Kent State | -12.1 / 48.8 | 69% | W 13-10 (3-2) | -3.5 ✗ / 50.5 U |
| 6 | 10/10 | vs Central Michigan | -7.1 / 47.4 | 61% | W 31-14 (4-2) | -2.5 ✓ / 46.0 U |
| 7 | 10/18 | @ Sacramento State | -20.9 / 46.1 | 84% | - | -14.0 / 49.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs Eastern Michigan | -11.4 / 51.6 | 68% | - | - |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/04 | @ Akron | -11.7 / 49.4 | 69% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/11 | @ Miami (OH) | -2.5 / 49.5 | 54% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/18 | vs Ball State | -18.1 / 50.2 | 79% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/27 | vs Toledo | +1.6 / 53.1 | 47% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 27.0 | 22.6 | -4.4 |
| Offense YPG | 345.2 | 334.3 | -10.9 |
| Offense YPP | 5.56 | 5.21 | -0.35 |
| Defense PPG | 24.8 | 28.1 | +3.4 |
| Defense YPG | 360.6 | 400.7 | +40.0 |
| Defense YPP | 5.68 | 6.13 | +0.45 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -13.5 | 136 |
| Median (Current) | -12.6 | 137 |
| Mean (Historical) | -12.5 | 127 |
| Median (Historical) | -9.2 | 115 |
If Ohio replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Ohio isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Ohio do with another team's schedule?