Ohio State

BMPR #5 AP #4 Coaches #5 5-1 Big Ten
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+24.5
Rank #5
Offense (Adj PPG)
38.3
Rank #6
Defense (Adj PPG)
13.8
Rank #3
Actual Record
5-1
All games played
Projected Wins
8.9
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
5.0
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05vsBall State logoBall State-47.5 / 58.1100%W 56-3 (1-0)-51.0 ✓ / 56.5 O
209/12@#9 Texas logoTexas-2.7 / 42.654%L 23-24 (1-1)+2.5 ✓ / 50.5 U
309/19vsKent State logoKent State-46.3 / 56.6100%W 59-3 (2-1)-52.5 ✓ / 58.5 O
409/26vsIllinois logoIllinois-24.6 / 55.289%W 42-19 (3-1)-25.5 ✗ / 53.5 O
510/03@#15 Iowa logoIowa-6.4 / 43.560%W 31-14 (4-1)-14.5 ✓ / 46.5 U
610/10vsMaryland logoMaryland-32.4 / 55.1100%W 45-16 (5-1)-31.0 ✗ / 56.0 O
710/17@#1 Indiana logoIndiana+5.3 / 42.241%--4.0 / 50.5
8IDLE
910/31@#19 USC logoUSC-10.9 / 57.067%--7.5 / 54.5
1011/07vs#10 Oregon logoOregon-10.4 / 49.567%--6.0 / 52.5
1111/14vs#22 Northwestern logoNorthwestern-14.3 / 46.473%--
1211/21@#14 Nebraska logoNebraska-8.2 / 52.463%--
1311/28vsMichigan logoMichigan-16.7 / 43.977%--13.5 / 46.5

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG35.038.3+3.3
Offense YPG460.5476.2+15.7
Offense YPP7.187.26+0.08
Defense PPG14.513.8-0.7
Defense YPG268.2291.0+22.8
Defense YPP4.544.46-0.08

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+6.811
Median (Current)+12.63
Mean (Historical)-0.737
Median (Historical)+0.544

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Ohio State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 5-1 Expected: 5.0 wins Culture Factor: -0.0 (Neutral)
2-4
0.0%
3-3
2.0%
4-2
21.6%
5-1
47.3%
6-0
29.1%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
8.9
5-7
0.2%
6-6
1.9%
7-5
9.4%
8-4
24.2%
9-3
33.8%
10-2
24.1%
11-1
6.5%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Ohio State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Ohio State do with another team's schedule?