| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/06 | vs Central Michigan | -21.2 / 48.7 | 84% | W 38-7 (1-0) | -11.0 ✓ / 47.0 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | vsMercyhurst | - | - | W 70-7 (2-0) | -42.5 ✓ / 54.5 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | @#17  Oklahoma | +7.9 / 40.8 | 37% | L 6-14 (2-1) | +21.5 ✓ / 45.5 U |
| 4 | 09/26 | @ New Mexico State | -17.1 / 47.7 | 77% | W 42-18 (3-1) | -11.5 ✓ / 47.5 O |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs UTEP | -33.0 / 55.2 | 100% | W 61-7 (4-1) | -23.5 ✓ / 47.5 O |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/18 | @ Hawai'i | -16.9 / 49.4 | 77% | - | -14.5 / 45.5 |
| 8 | 10/25 | vs North Dakota State | -6.1 / 42.8 | 60% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | @ San Jose State | -13.3 / 45.4 | 71% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ Nevada | -11.5 / 49.7 | 68% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/15 | vs UNLV | -10.5 / 47.6 | 67% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/22 | @ Wyoming | -16.6 / 37.8 | 77% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs Air Force | -14.4 / 54.5 | 73% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 31.2 | 29.7 | -1.6 |
| Offense YPG | 350.6 | 357.6 | +6.9 |
| Offense YPP | 5.87 | 5.67 | -0.20 |
| Defense PPG | 14.8 | 20.7 | +6.0 |
| Defense YPG | 303.6 | 345.0 | +41.4 |
| Defense YPP | 5.15 | 5.72 | +0.57 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -7.9 | 100 |
| Median (Current) | -8.6 | 111 |
| Mean (Historical) | -11.0 | 118 |
| Median (Historical) | -11.9 | 127 |
If New Mexico replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game New Mexico isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would New Mexico do with another team's schedule?