San Jose State

#104 2-2 Mountain West
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-5.9
Rank #104
Offense (Adj PPG)
22.6
Rank #97
Defense (Adj PPG)
28.3
Rank #88
Actual Record
2-2
All games played
Projected Wins
5.6
9 games remaining
Expected Wins
2.1
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/29@#14 USC logoUSC+21.915%L 26-42 (0-1)+37.5 ✓ / 62 O
109/04@Eastern Michigan logoEastern Michigan-7.862%W 27-21 (1-1)+1.5 ✓ / 56 U
209/13vsCal Poly--W 30-20 (2-1)-21.5 ✗ / 58 U
309/20vsFresno State logoFresno State+6.040%L 10-26 (2-2)+4.5 ✗ / 48 U
4IDLE
510/04@Hawai'i logoHawai'i-4.858%--
610/10vsWyoming logoWyoming-9.665%--
710/18@UTEP logoUTEP-12.570%--
810/24@Nevada logoNevada+11.831%--
910/31vsNew Mexico logoNew Mexico+11.032%--
1011/07vsNorthern Illinois logoNorthern Illinois-12.270%--
1111/15@Air Force logoAir Force+7.538%--
1211/22vsUNLV logoUNLV-8.464%--
1311/27vs#23 North Dakota State logoNorth Dakota State+9.535%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG21.022.6+1.6
Offense YPG224.7264.7+40.0
Offense YPP5.525.71+0.18
Defense PPG29.728.3-1.4
Defense YPG283.3390.2+106.8
Defense YPP5.995.64-0.35

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-4.8103
Median (Current)-8.3131
Mean (Historical)-7.360
Median (Historical)-6.279

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If San Jose State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 2-2 Expected: 2.1 wins Culture Factor: -0.1 (Neutral)
0-4
1.0%
1-3
20.5%
2-2
47.1%
3-1
28.0%
4-0
3.5%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
5.6
1-12
0.1%
2-11
1.1%
3-10
5.3%
4-9
14.9%
5-8
24.8%
6-7
26.8%
7-6
18.0%
8-5
7.2%
9-4
1.7%
10-3
0.2%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game San Jose State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would San Jose State do with another team's schedule?