Historical View
Current
Power Rating
+8.3
Rank #28 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
26.9
Rank #58
Defense (Adj PPG)
19.5
Rank #22
Actual Record
1-0
All games played
Projected Wins
8.3
11 games remaining
Expected Wins
0.8
Based on ratings
Schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | vs Jacksonville State | -19.1 | 81% | W 33-7 (1-0) | -6.5 ✓ / 46 U |
| 1 | 09/05 | vsFordham | - | - | - | -39.5 / 58 |
| 2 | 09/13 | @ Air Force | -12.3 | 70% | - | - |
| 3 | 09/20 | @Sacramento State | -14.3 | 73% | - | - |
| 4 | IDLE | |||||
| 5 | 10/03 | vs Wyoming | -18.5 | 80% | - | - |
| 6 | 10/10 | @ UNLV | -4.3 | 57% | - | - |
| 7 | 10/17 | vs Nevada | -20.8 | 83% | - | - |
| 8 | 10/25 | @ New Mexico | -3.1 | 55% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs UTEP | -24.9 | 90% | - | - |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/15 | @ Hawai'i | -7.6 | 62% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Northern Illinois | -22.9 | 87% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/27 | @ San José State | -17.0 | 77% | - | - |
Unit Breakdown
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 33.0 | 26.9 | -6.1 |
| Offense YPG | 373.0 | 347.0 | -26.0 |
| Offense YPP | 5.65 | 5.29 | -0.36 |
| Defense PPG | 7.0 | 19.5 | +12.5 |
| Defense YPG | 189.0 | 295.0 | +106.0 |
| Defense YPP | 3.78 | 4.93 | +1.15 |
Strength of Schedule
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -6.9 | 134 |
| Median (Current) | -6.9 | 134 |
| Mean (Historical) | +0.0 | 81 |
| Median (Historical) | +0.0 | 81 |
Expected Wins (Retrospective)
If North Dakota State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Actual: 1-0
Expected: 0.8 wins
Culture Factor: +0.2 (Neutral)
Projected Wins
Projected Wins
8.3
Entertaining Hypotheticals
Fantasy Matchup
Model a game North Dakota State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
Schedule Swap
How would North Dakota State do with another team's schedule?