| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | vs Jacksonville State | -13.6 / 44.9 | 72% | W 33-7 (1-0) | -7.0 ✓ / 46.5 U |
| 1 | 09/05 | vsFordham | - | - | W 38-0 (2-0) | -41.5 ✗ / 54.0 U |
| 2 | 09/13 | @ Air Force | -3.6 / 47.8 | 56% | W 38-32 (3-0) | -1.5 ✓ / 48.5 O |
| 3 | 09/20 | @ Sacramento State | -31.2 / 43.9 | 100% | W 31-10 (4-0) | -26.5 ✗ / 50.5 U |
| 4 | IDLE | |||||
| 5 | 10/03 | vs Wyoming | -16.6 / 35.5 | 77% | W 28-0 (5-0) | -17.5 ✓ / 44.5 U |
| 6 | 10/10 | @ UNLV | -3.0 / 42.4 | 55% | L 7-13 (5-1) | -2.5 ✗ / 47.5 U |
| 7 | 10/17 | vs Nevada | -11.3 / 44.2 | 68% | W 31-17 (6-1) | -14.5 ✗ / 42.5 O |
| 8 | 10/25 | @ New Mexico | +5.3 / 41.0 | 41% | - | +4.5 / 43.5 |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs UTEP | -28.3 / 47.0 | 95% | - | - |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/15 | @ Hawai'i | -12.4 / 40.2 | 70% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Northern Illinois | -23.2 / 41.0 | 87% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/27 | @ San Jose State | -9.2 / 37.2 | 65% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 28.0 | 24.3 | -3.7 |
| Offense YPG | 359.3 | 338.9 | -20.5 |
| Offense YPP | 5.72 | 5.34 | -0.38 |
| Defense PPG | 13.2 | 19.6 | +6.4 |
| Defense YPG | 271.7 | 308.6 | +36.9 |
| Defense YPP | 4.77 | 5.19 | +0.42 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -12.0 | 131 |
| Median (Current) | -9.2 | 116 |
| Mean (Historical) | -12.3 | 128 |
| Median (Historical) | -7.4 | 101 |
If North Dakota State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game North Dakota State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would North Dakota State do with another team's schedule?