UTEP

BMPR #135 AP NR Coaches NR 1-5 Mountain West
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-22.6
Rank #135
Offense (Adj PPG)
16.6
Rank #129
Defense (Adj PPG)
39.2
Rank #137
Actual Record
1-5
All games played
Projected Wins
2.6
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
1.3
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05@#17 Oklahoma logoOklahoma+36.7 / 50.00%L 0-51 (0-1)+41.0 ✗ / 51.0 P
209/13vsTexas Southern--W 51-10 (1-1)-27.0 ✓ / 53.5 O
309/19@Michigan logoMichigan+33.1 / 51.90%L 17-52 (1-2)+34.5 ✗ / 48.5 O
409/27vsOregon State logoOregon State+24.9 / 60.210%L 7-33 (1-3)+11.5 ✗ / 56.5 U
510/03@New Mexico logoNew Mexico+33.0 / 55.20%L 7-61 (1-4)+23.5 ✗ / 47.5 O
610/10vsNevada logoNevada+14.2 / 53.227%L 13-30 (1-5)+10.0 ✗ / 48.5 U
710/18vsSan Jose State logoSan Jose State+11.6 / 48.431%-+9.5 / 50.5
8IDLE
910/31@North Dakota State logoNorth Dakota State+27.9 / 48.95%--
1011/07vsHawai'i logoHawai'i+9.3 / 51.735%--
1111/14vsWyoming logoWyoming+6.1 / 39.740%--
1211/21@Air Force logoAir Force+23.1 / 57.913%--
1311/28@Northern Illinois logoNorthern Illinois+7.0 / 44.739%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG16.216.6+0.3
Offense YPG264.0268.4+4.4
Offense YPP4.664.62-0.04
Defense PPG45.039.2-5.8
Defense YPG452.8413.7-39.0
Defense YPP6.666.34-0.32

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-3.978
Median (Current)-3.883
Mean (Historical)-2.547
Median (Historical)-0.351

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If UTEP replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 1-5 Expected: 1.3 wins Culture Factor: -0.3 (Neutral)
0-6
3.3%
1-5
63.6%
2-4
30.4%
3-3
2.7%
4-2
0.0%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
2.6
0-12
0.0%
1-11
13.6%
2-10
33.6%
3-9
33.0%
4-8
15.7%
5-7
3.7%
6-6
0.4%
7-5
0.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game UTEP isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would UTEP do with another team's schedule?