| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | @ Memphis | +20.7 / 57.5 | 17% | L 24-42 (0-1) | +10.5 ✗ / 52.0 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | vsWest Georgia | - | - | W 52-7 (1-1) | -31.5 ✓ / 56.5 O |
| 3 | 09/20 | @ TCU | +16.1 / 46.4 | 24% | L 7-31 (1-2) | +18.5 ✗ / 56.5 U |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs Kennesaw State | -0.3 / 48.2 | 50% | W 17-14 (2-2) | -6.5 ✗ / 53.5 U |
| 5 | 10/04 | @ Louisiana | +6.3 / 51.3 | 40% | L 20-23 (2-3) | +4.5 ✓ / 49.5 U |
| 6 | 10/08 | vs South Alabama | +1.8 / 66.3 | 47% | L 49-56 (2-4) | -3.0 ✗ / 60.5 O |
| 7 | 10/17 | @ Southern Miss | +1.2 / 57.7 | 48% | - | -7.0 / 57.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs Georgia State | +1.3 / 55.9 | 48% | - | - |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/07 | vs UL Monroe | -15.1 / 50.4 | 74% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ Coastal Carolina | -0.4 / 48.6 | 51% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ Louisiana Tech | +7.7 / 54.4 | 38% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs Troy | +3.2 / 48.2 | 45% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 24.8 | 20.8 | -3.9 |
| Offense YPG | 343.4 | 307.7 | -35.6 |
| Offense YPP | 5.87 | 5.34 | -0.53 |
| Defense PPG | 32.0 | 30.7 | -1.3 |
| Defense YPG | 367.8 | 393.0 | +25.2 |
| Defense YPP | 6.29 | 6.21 | -0.07 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -8.8 | 110 |
| Median (Current) | -6.8 | 101 |
| Mean (Historical) | -7.2 | 90 |
| Median (Historical) | -6.6 | 95 |
If Arkansas State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Arkansas State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Arkansas State do with another team's schedule?