| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vsUT Rio Grande Valley | - | - | W 45-16 (1-0) | -28.5 ✓ / 59.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Texas State | -1.5 / 67.9 | 52% | W 31-26 (2-0) | +1.5 ✓ / 65.5 U |
| 3 | 09/20 | @#9  Texas | +21.5 / 50.8 | 16% | L 6-30 (2-1) | +29.5 ✓ / 58.5 U |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs Colorado State | -13.3 / 69.1 | 71% | W 59-45 (3-1) | -14.5 ✗ / 56.5 O |
| 5 | 10/03 | @ Rice | -10.5 / 52.2 | 67% | W 16-14 (4-1) | -11.5 ✗ / 56.5 U |
| 6 | 10/08 | vs South Florida | +1.9 / 52.5 | 47% | W 31-24 (5-1) | -5.5 ✓ / 49.5 O |
| 7 | 10/18 | vs Navy | -5.6 / 54.8 | 59% | - | -6.5 / 55.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | @ Tulane | +1.6 / 46.8 | 47% | - | - |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/06 | @ Florida Atlantic | -6.6 / 66.2 | 61% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs North Texas | +4.9 / 74.0 | 42% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ UAB | -9.4 / 55.3 | 65% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs Tulsa | -9.7 / 54.4 | 66% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 31.6 | 28.0 | -3.6 |
| Offense YPG | 404.0 | 369.0 | -35.0 |
| Offense YPP | 5.94 | 5.59 | -0.35 |
| Defense PPG | 24.6 | 28.4 | +3.7 |
| Defense YPG | 350.4 | 377.7 | +27.3 |
| Defense YPP | 5.26 | 5.67 | +0.41 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -5.6 | 83 |
| Median (Current) | -6.1 | 95 |
| Mean (Historical) | -7.2 | 91 |
| Median (Historical) | -7.6 | 101 |
If UTSA replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game UTSA isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would UTSA do with another team's schedule?