Army

BMPR #76 AP NR Coaches NR 3-2 American Athletic
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-2.0
Rank #76
Offense (Adj PPG)
22.2
Rank #98
Defense (Adj PPG)
24.3
Rank #55
Actual Record
3-2
All games played
Projected Wins
6.7
7 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.0
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05vsBryant--W 59-3 (1-0)-37.0 ✓ / 50.5 O
209/12vsSouth Florida logoSouth Florida+3.4 / 43.345%L 24-28 (1-1)-3.0 ✗ / 45.5 O
3IDLE
409/25@Temple logoTemple-1.7 / 47.353%W 21-17 (2-1)-4.0 P / 48.5 U
510/03@Louisiana Tech logoLouisiana Tech-0.1 / 49.850%L 29-31 (2-2)+1.5 ✗ / 46.5 O
610/10vsTulane logoTulane-2.7 / 36.654%W 20-17 (3-2)-5.5 ✗ / 48.5 U
710/17vsFlorida Atlantic logoFlorida Atlantic-8.2 / 56.263%--3.0 / 56.5
810/24@Tulsa logoTulsa-2.0 / 45.153%--
910/31@Memphis logoMemphis+11.6 / 51.731%--
1011/08vsAir Force logoAir Force-2.4 / 50.054%--
11IDLE
1211/21vsEast Carolina logoEast Carolina-0.4 / 44.951%--
1311/28@Rice logoRice-8.1 / 42.263%--
14IDLE
1512/12vsNavy logoNavy-2.4 / 43.754%-+2.5 / 37.5

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG22.022.2+0.2
Offense YPG306.4318.3+12.0
Offense YPP5.045.11+0.06
Defense PPG21.624.3+2.6
Defense YPG378.6387.8+9.2
Defense YPP6.666.65-0.01

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-5.987
Median (Current)-4.485
Mean (Historical)-6.787
Median (Historical)-4.877

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Army replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 3-2 Expected: 3.0 wins Culture Factor: +0.0 (Neutral)
0-5
0.3%
1-4
6.9%
2-3
25.1%
3-2
37.1%
4-1
24.6%
5-0
6.1%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
6.7
3-9
0.4%
4-8
3.9%
5-7
13.5%
6-6
26.0%
7-5
29.2%
8-4
19.2%
9-3
6.8%
10-2
1.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Army isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Army do with another team's schedule?