| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vs Florida International | -11.2 / 41.9 | 68% | W 19-9 (1-0) | -14.5 ✗ / 53.0 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Army | -3.4 / 43.3 | 55% | W 28-24 (2-0) | +3.0 ✓ / 45.5 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | vsDelaware State | - | - | W 59-17 (3-0) | -37.5 ✓ / 59.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | @ Bowling Green | -14.6 / 44.8 | 73% | W 14-6 (4-0) | -17.5 ✗ / 48.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs Temple | -12.7 / 49.9 | 70% | L 13-17 (4-1) | -5.5 ✗ / 50.5 U |
| 6 | 10/08 | @ UTSA | -1.9 / 52.5 | 53% | L 24-31 (4-2) | +5.5 ✗ / 49.5 O |
| 7 | 10/17 | vs Kent State | -26.2 / 48.5 | 92% | - | -19.5 / 47.5 |
| 8 | IDLE | |||||
| 9 | 10/31 | vs UAB | -18.1 / 48.1 | 79% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ East Carolina | -1.7 / 46.6 | 53% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/13 | vs Memphis | +0.4 / 53.3 | 49% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ Florida Atlantic | -10.6 / 58.4 | 67% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/27 | vs Tulane | -7.6 / 38.8 | 62% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 29.5 | 26.3 | -3.2 |
| Offense YPG | 382.9 | 364.6 | -18.3 |
| Offense YPP | 6.29 | 5.71 | -0.58 |
| Defense PPG | 18.6 | 22.1 | +3.5 |
| Defense YPG | 358.1 | 379.0 | +20.9 |
| Defense YPP | 5.46 | 5.67 | +0.22 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -8.0 | 103 |
| Median (Current) | -5.6 | 91 |
| Mean (Historical) | -11.0 | 119 |
| Median (Historical) | -6.3 | 93 |
If South Florida replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game South Florida isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would South Florida do with another team's schedule?