Rice

BMPR #124 AP NR Coaches NR 1-5 American Athletic
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-13.0
Rank #124
Offense (Adj PPG)
17.7
Rank #125
Defense (Adj PPG)
30.7
Rank #106
Actual Record
1-5
All games played
Projected Wins
3.0
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
2.2
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05vsHouston Christian--W 31-3 (1-0)-22.5 ✓ / 47.5 U
209/12@#2 Notre Dame logoNotre Dame+40.8 / 56.70%L 0-52 (1-1)+45.0 ✗ / 54.5 U
309/19vsWestern Michigan logoWestern Michigan+7.1 / 37.939%L 21-28 (1-2)+8.5 ✓ / 43.5 O
409/27@Fresno State logoFresno State+17.1 / 45.423%L 24-38 (1-3)+12.5 ✗ / 43.5 O
510/03vsUTSA logoUTSA+10.5 / 52.233%L 14-16 (1-4)+11.5 ✓ / 56.5 U
610/10@East Carolina logoEast Carolina+14.9 / 46.526%L 12-28 (1-5)+10.0 ✗ / 46.0 U
710/17vsTulsa logoTulsa+3.1 / 46.145%-+3.5 / 47.5
810/24@Florida Atlantic logoFlorida Atlantic+7.8 / 56.837%--
9IDLE
1011/07@North Texas logoNorth Texas+23.8 / 65.712%--
1111/14vsTulane logoTulane+8.5 / 39.036%--
1211/20@Temple logoTemple+10.1 / 49.234%--
1311/28vsArmy logoArmy+8.1 / 42.237%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG15.217.7+2.5
Offense YPG279.4289.7+10.3
Offense YPP4.824.95+0.14
Defense PPG35.930.7-5.1
Defense YPG434.1387.6-46.5
Defense YPP6.536.07-0.46

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-2.371
Median (Current)-1.672
Mean (Historical)-1.844
Median (Historical)+0.345

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Rice replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 1-5 Expected: 2.2 wins Culture Factor: -1.2 (Underperforming)
0-6
1.1%
1-5
24.6%
2-4
40.9%
3-3
25.5%
4-2
7.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-0
0.0%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
3.0
1-11
8.2%
2-10
26.1%
3-9
33.3%
4-8
22.8%
5-7
8.1%
6-6
1.4%
7-5
0.1%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Rice isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Rice do with another team's schedule?