USC

BMPR #19 AP #19 Coaches #15 6-1 Big Ten
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+13.1
Rank #19
Offense (Adj PPG)
36.8
Rank #9
Defense (Adj PPG)
23.6
Rank #48
Actual Record
6-1
All games played
Projected Wins
8.4
5 games remaining
Expected Wins
4.8
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
108/29vsSan Jose State logoSan Jose State-22.8 / 55.087%W 42-26 (1-0)-37.0 ✗ / 60.5 O
109/05vsFresno State logoFresno State-13.0 / 56.771%W 39-0 (2-0)-22.5 ✓ / 51.0 U
209/13vsLouisiana logoLouisiana-22.1 / 61.486%W 49-30 (3-0)-31.0 ✗ / 58.5 O
309/19@Rutgers logoRutgers-20.2 / 69.682%W 42-35 (4-0)-21.0 ✗ / 59.5 O
409/26vs#10 Oregon logoOregon+2.8 / 59.946%L 27-41 (4-1)+3.5 ✗ / 60.5 O
510/03vsWashington logoWashington-9.5 / 56.865%W 25-21 (5-1)-7.5 ✗ / 58.5 U
610/10@#24 Penn State logoPenn State+2.5 / 57.346%W 31-23 (6-1)-1.5 ✓ / 54.5 U
7IDLE
810/24@Wisconsin logoWisconsin-1.2 / 50.352%--
910/31vs#5 Ohio State logoOhio State+10.9 / 57.033%-+7.5 / 54.5
10IDLE
1111/14@#1 Indiana logoIndiana+18.2 / 53.721%-+10.0 / 58.5
1211/21vsMaryland logoMaryland-21.0 / 62.784%--
1311/28@UCLA logoUCLA+0.7 / 61.449%--10.5 / 55.5

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG35.536.8+1.3
Offense YPG513.9507.0-6.9
Offense YPP6.786.82+0.04
Defense PPG23.223.6+0.4
Defense YPG389.1347.4-41.7
Defense YPP6.025.85-0.17

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+6.612
Median (Current)+6.627
Mean (Historical)+3.111
Median (Historical)+3.131

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If USC replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 6-1 Expected: 4.8 wins Culture Factor: +1.2 (Winners Win)
0-7
0.0%
1-6
0.2%
2-5
2.2%
3-4
10.1%
4-3
24.9%
5-2
33.8%
6-1
22.9%
7-0
5.9%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
8.4
6-6
2.1%
7-5
17.1%
8-4
36.3%
9-3
31.5%
10-2
11.5%
11-1
1.5%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game USC isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would USC do with another team's schedule?