Kent State

BMPR #133 AP NR Coaches NR 2-4 Mid-American
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-20.4
Rank #133
Offense (Adj PPG)
15.6
Rank #132
Defense (Adj PPG)
36.0
Rank #131
Actual Record
2-4
All games played
Projected Wins
4.3
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
2.0
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05@South Carolina logoSouth Carolina+32.7 / 55.10%L 0-57 (0-1)+36.5 ✗ / 53.5 O
209/12vsWofford--W 36-15 (1-1)-11.0 ✓ / 47.0 O
309/19@#5 Ohio State logoOhio State+46.3 / 56.60%L 3-59 (1-2)+52.5 ✗ / 58.5 O
409/26vsBall State logoBall State-3.4 / 48.155%W 26-13 (2-2)-2.5 ✓ / 51.5 U
510/03vsOhio logoOhio+12.1 / 48.831%L 10-13 (2-3)+3.5 ✓ / 50.5 U
610/10@Western Michigan logoWestern Michigan+18.7 / 40.620%L 7-38 (2-4)+14.0 ✗ / 43.5 O
710/17@South Florida logoSouth Florida+26.2 / 48.58%-+19.5 / 47.5
810/24vsAkron logoAkron-1.7 / 47.553%--
910/31@Sacramento State logoSacramento State-6.6 / 43.061%--
10IDLE
1111/11@Bowling Green logoBowling Green+8.3 / 44.537%--
1211/18vsMiami (OH) logoMiami (OH)+7.4 / 49.238%--
1311/25@Eastern Michigan logoEastern Michigan+8.8 / 50.336%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG17.415.6-1.7
Offense YPG290.0279.3-10.7
Offense YPP5.114.78-0.33
Defense PPG34.236.0+1.7
Defense YPG406.4431.4+25.1
Defense YPP6.236.60+0.37

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-9.4116
Median (Current)-12.2135
Mean (Historical)-5.975
Median (Historical)-5.383

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Kent State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 2-4 Expected: 2.0 wins Culture Factor: -0.0 (Neutral)
0-6
1.3%
1-5
25.8%
2-4
46.5%
3-3
23.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-1
0.0%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
4.3
2-10
4.3%
3-9
19.3%
4-8
33.4%
5-7
28.3%
6-6
12.1%
7-5
2.3%
8-4
0.1%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Kent State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Kent State do with another team's schedule?