UAB

BMPR #120 AP NR Coaches NR 3-3 American Athletic
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-12.0
Rank #120 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
19.8
Rank #113
Defense (Adj PPG)
31.8
Rank #114
Actual Record
3-3
All games played
Projected Wins
5.1
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
2.8
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/04@Illinois logoIllinois+18.5 / 56.020%L 23-42 (0-1)+26.5 ✓ / 54.5 O
209/12vsUL Monroe logoUL Monroe-12.6 / 50.270%W 26-20 (1-1)-9.0 ✗ / 53.5 U
309/20@Louisiana logoLouisiana+8.5 / 51.236%L 14-21 (1-2)+7.0 P / 55.5 U
409/25vsNavy logoNavy+6.1 / 49.740%W 24-20 (2-2)+6.5 ✓ / 50.0 U
510/03vsSamford--W 33-14 (3-2)-30.5 ✗ / 54.0 U
610/10@Memphis logoMemphis+23.0 / 57.913%L 13-38 (3-3)+15.5 ✗ / 55.5 U
710/15vsEast Carolina logoEast Carolina+8.9 / 49.536%-+5.5 / 51.5
8IDLE
910/31@South Florida logoSouth Florida+18.1 / 48.121%--
1011/07vsCharlotte logoCharlotte-13.9 / 45.172%--
1111/14@Temple logoTemple+9.0 / 52.536%--
1211/21vsUTSA logoUTSA+9.4 / 55.335%--
1311/28@North Texas logoNorth Texas+22.9 / 69.213%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG21.619.8-1.9
Offense YPG359.9335.3-24.6
Offense YPP5.255.09-0.16
Defense PPG33.231.8-1.4
Defense YPG389.0364.7-24.3
Defense YPP6.405.99-0.41

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-6.290
Median (Current)-2.073
Mean (Historical)-8.6103
Median (Historical)-5.586

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If UAB replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 3-3 Expected: 2.8 wins Culture Factor: +0.2 (Neutral)
0-6
0.4%
1-5
8.9%
2-4
31.7%
3-3
37.2%
4-2
18.0%
5-1
3.6%
6-0
0.3%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
5.1
3-9
5.2%
4-8
23.8%
5-7
35.9%
6-6
24.7%
7-5
8.8%
8-4
1.5%
9-3
0.1%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game UAB isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would UAB do with another team's schedule?