| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/04 | vsNorth Carolina A&T | - | - | W 59-10 (1-0) | -28.0 ✓ / 61.0 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Kennesaw State | +1.3 / 54.0 | 48% | W 31-17 (2-0) | +7.5 ✓ / 55.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | @ UCF | +9.6 / 51.9 | 35% | L 30-44 (2-1) | +17.5 ✓ / 50.0 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs Northern Illinois | -13.6 / 48.1 | 72% | W 35-14 (3-1) | -8.5 ✓ / 56.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs Old Dominion | -3.2 / 52.5 | 55% | W 42-10 (4-1) | -1.5 ✓ / 51.5 O |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/17 | @ James Madison | +19.9 / 58.1 | 18% | - | +11.5 / 57.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | @ Arkansas State | -1.3 / 55.9 | 52% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Coastal Carolina | -9.3 / 54.5 | 65% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ App State | -0.8 / 55.7 | 51% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Georgia Southern | -2.9 / 60.4 | 55% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ Marshall | -2.9 / 60.4 | 55% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs Louisiana | -2.3 / 57.3 | 54% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 26.5 | 25.3 | -1.2 |
| Offense YPG | 426.1 | 393.1 | -33.0 |
| Offense YPP | 6.04 | 5.97 | -0.08 |
| Defense PPG | 26.6 | 31.9 | +5.3 |
| Defense YPG | 378.6 | 403.8 | +25.2 |
| Defense YPP | 5.92 | 6.18 | +0.26 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -9.2 | 114 |
| Median (Current) | -8.4 | 109 |
| Mean (Historical) | -10.8 | 116 |
| Median (Historical) | -1.2 | 57 |
If Georgia State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Georgia State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Georgia State do with another team's schedule?