| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vsSE Louisiana | - | - | W 39-14 (1-0) | -13.5 ✓ / 53.5 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Tulane | +7.3 / 56.8 | 38% | L 24-28 (1-1) | +9.5 ✓ / 47.5 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs Ohio | -1.9 / 65.8 | 53% | W 41-36 (2-1) | -7.0 ✗ / 50.0 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | @ Kentucky | +18.6 / 71.1 | 20% | L 21-45 (2-2) | +20.5 ✗ / 54.0 O |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs UL Monroe | -21.3 / 66.9 | 84% | W 52-35 (3-2) | -12.5 ✓ / 57.5 O |
| 6 | 10/08 | @ Arkansas State | -1.8 / 66.3 | 53% | W 56-49 (4-2) | +3.0 ✓ / 60.5 O |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/20 | @ Marshall | -3.9 / 71.4 | 56% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Louisiana Tech | -1.1 / 71.4 | 52% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ Louisiana | +2.7 / 67.7 | 46% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Troy | -0.4 / 64.4 | 51% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ Southern Miss | -3.4 / 75.0 | 56% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/27 | vs App State | -5.9 / 65.9 | 59% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 36.0 | 30.4 | -5.6 |
| Offense YPG | 430.0 | 392.4 | -37.6 |
| Offense YPP | 6.14 | 5.95 | -0.19 |
| Defense PPG | 36.4 | 37.4 | +1.1 |
| Defense YPG | 440.8 | 452.1 | +11.4 |
| Defense YPP | 7.14 | 7.06 | -0.07 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -9.5 | 118 |
| Median (Current) | -7.7 | 105 |
| Mean (Historical) | -11.4 | 120 |
| Median (Historical) | -7.6 | 100 |
If South Alabama replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game South Alabama isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would South Alabama do with another team's schedule?