| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/06 | vsLamar | - | - | W 38-7 (1-0) | -20.5 ✓ / 48.5 U |
| 2 | 09/13 | @#19  USC | +22.1 / 61.4 | 14% | L 30-49 (1-1) | +31.0 ✓ / 58.5 O |
| 3 | 09/20 | vs UAB | -8.5 / 51.2 | 64% | W 21-14 (2-1) | -7.0 P / 55.5 U |
| 4 | 09/26 | @ Charlotte | -14.9 / 47.3 | 74% | W 34-7 (3-1) | -9.5 ✓ / 49.5 U |
| 5 | 10/04 | vs Arkansas State | -6.3 / 51.3 | 60% | W 23-20 (4-1) | -4.5 ✗ / 49.5 U |
| 6 | 10/10 | @ Louisiana Tech | +3.6 / 55.6 | 44% | L 31-32 (4-2) | +3.0 ✓ / 48.0 O |
| 7 | 10/17 | vs Troy | -0.7 / 49.3 | 51% | - | -5.5 / 48.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | @ Southern Miss | -2.8 / 59.2 | 55% | - | - |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/07 | vs South Alabama | -2.7 / 67.7 | 54% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/13 | @ UL Monroe | -13.9 / 52.3 | 72% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Coastal Carolina | -9.4 / 50.1 | 65% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ Georgia State | +2.3 / 57.3 | 46% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 30.6 | 23.2 | -7.4 |
| Offense YPG | 361.5 | 332.3 | -29.2 |
| Offense YPP | 5.53 | 5.50 | -0.03 |
| Defense PPG | 27.2 | 29.3 | +2.1 |
| Defense YPG | 383.2 | 374.6 | -8.7 |
| Defense YPP | 6.12 | 5.88 | -0.24 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -11.4 | 130 |
| Median (Current) | -10.9 | 128 |
| Mean (Historical) | -10.9 | 117 |
| Median (Historical) | -12.1 | 128 |
If Louisiana replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Louisiana isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Louisiana do with another team's schedule?